CC and Potato and Wheat Competitiveness in South America
Executive Summary
Climate change is generating increases in average temperatures, variations in rainfall and more frequent extreme weather events. Its effects could seriously impact traditional agriculture, particularly small and medium-sized farms that depend on rainfed production. Water stress during flowering, pollination, and grain filling is harmful in wheat, as well as it affects tuberization or tuber filling and industrial quality in potatoes. Both are key crops for food security in the region, so it is necessary to investigate how to adapt them to the effects of climate change in aspects such as efficient use of water, genetic improvement, and the search for tolerance genes.
The project sought to increase the competitiveness of the potato and wheat production systems, through the selection and development of genotypes with greater tolerance to drought and high temperatures. It had the following components: 1. Validation of a model to identify the probable impacts of climate change on the potato and wheat production system and identify the most vulnerable production areas; 2. Characterization of potato and wheat germplasm collections (clones, lines, and varieties) by their response to drought and high temperatures; 3. Identification of groups of potatoes and wheat tolerant to drought and high temperatures, disseminate and incorporate them as parents in the genetic improvement programs of the region; 4. Development of efficient methods for selecting drought and high temperature tolerant genotypes, and their transfer to the region's breeding programs; and 5. Establishment of cooperation agreements for the transfer and evaluation of improved materials and the dissemination of results.
The technological solution
Climate change is being expressed in temperature increases, variations in rainfall regimes, and a higher incidence of extreme events. Given the uncertainty that this situation causes, the project sought the validation of simulation models that allow estimating its possible impacts on the production of some of the most important crops for food security in the participating countries. Also, it sought to identify germplasm of these crops with tolerance to the abiotic stresses caused by climate change. The validation of the AquaCrop model in potatoes and wheat has allowed estimating the possible impacts of climate change in the different regions of Chile and could be used for future agricultural development plans in the country. The identification of the accessions and genotypes of crops with drought tolerance could be used in the genetic improvement programs of the countries to develop varieties that are tolerant to the stresses that are generated by climate change.
Results
The AquaCrop model was validated for the potato variety Karu in Chile and Canchan in Peru. However, the model showed limitations for the Desiree variety since it does not recognize the sensitivity to photoperiod.
In wheat, AquaCrop showed a slight overestimation of the biomass accumulated in the early stages of development, but it showed good precision in the simulation of biomass production.
In Chile, the increase in temperatures would cause an acceleration of the life cycle, with a 10 to 20% reduction in wheat yields under irrigation in the central coast and valley of the central zone. While from the foothills of the Bío-Bío to the south, there would be a gradual increase in yields of between 30 and 100%. In the future, the northern zone would present a reduction between 10 and 20% of the yield, while in the central-northern zone, the yield would decrease up to 30%.
In potatoes, the decrease would be only in the central valley, while in the coast and foothills, there would be increases of up to 50%. From the Araucanía Region to the south, yields would gradually increase to 150% and 200% in the Los Lagos Region. In dry lands, the increases would occur in the Bío-Bío coast and from Valdivia to Coyhaique.
380 wheat and 200 potato genotypes were evaluated in the different countries. In Chile, 16 contrasting genotypes in yield (eight tolerant and eight sensitive) were identified in both conditions (irrigation and drought). CIP evaluated a total of 918 potato accessions based on drought tolerance selection indices, and 37 were selected.
The results were presented in more than 20 national and international congresses, five high impact scientific publications, more than 10 field days, three regional workshops, one course and 10 theses (two for Master's degrees).
Beneficiaries
1,200 farmers benefited directly from the knowledge generated in the project through their participation in field days. Hundreds of researchers and professionals benefited through their participation in the project, and their access to the publications and presentations at national and international conferences.
The incorporation of the genetic material identified and characterized in this project into the countries' genetic improvement programs could eventually benefit thousands of farmers.
Sustainable Development Goals
Participating Organizations
Executor
- Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias (INIA) - Chile
Co-executor
- Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria (INIA) - Uruguay
- Centro Internacional de la Papa (CIP) - Perú